Tuesday, May 12, 2020

What Are The Causes Of Intelligence Failures - 2082 Words

What are the Causes of Intelligence Failures? Intelligence failures can be attributed to when cognitive biases and fixed mindsets enter the intelligence cycle and objectivity is lost. Cognitive biases and fixed mindsets can be found in the intelligence reports surrounding the failure to predict 9/11 and the alleged evidence of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in Iraq. After a partisan commission and internal reports were turned into Congress, multiple intelligence missteps were discovered across the board. Ranging from intercommunication failures, the mismanagement of and uncorroborated information, and biased intelligence. One of the under ridding assessments called into question was the psychological influence of gathered information†¦show more content†¦These mental perceptions form and create â€Å"the most commonly identified villain† among analysts and the decision makers and their reasoning paradigm: the mindset. Mindsets, in psychological terms, are defined as a person’s mental â€Å"lens† on how they understand the world around them. These mental lenses form what political psychologists call motivated and unmotivated biases. Motivated biases are driven by people’s fears, guilt, desires, needs, and interests. Unmotivated biases refer to the influence of a person’s belief systems and the using simple strategies that they use to make sense of the complex world they live in. The creation of these mindsets is quick to form as people tend to perceive what they want to, which in return helps create expectations or beliefs on how people will most likely react in the future. In the intelligence field, mindsets guide the analysts to pay attention to certain kinds of information and then to organize and interpret the information. This explains how two analysts can look at the same information and come up with different explanations. In short, a mindset of an intelligence a nalyst can be defined by the amount of expertise and knowledge of past events they have in creating sound judgments, of key players that the intelligence is concerned, and their decision-making paradigm. Fixed mindsets and cognitive biases can be found at each level of theShow MoreRelatedWeaknesses Of The Intelligence Cycle935 Words   |  4 PagesThus, intelligence cycle process as an integral part of the Intelligence System has intrinsic weaknesses within the â€Å"process† itself due to the interplay of different pathologies within the system. It may emanate in every phase of the process from Planning and Direction, Collection, Processing, Analysis and Production, and Dissemination. Julian Richards in his book â€Å"The art and science of intelligence analysis† discussed the problems associated with intelligence cycle. 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